EU warns no-deal Brexit is ‘increasingly likely’
Brussels finalises preparations but warns UK of delays for people and goods
It is “increasingly likely” the UK will leave the EU without a deal in less than three weeks’ time, Brussels said on Monday, as it announced the bloc was ready for a hard Brexit involving delays, customs checks and quizzing British travellers at the border.
AS belfasttelegraph.co.uk reported ” The warning came as Theresa May addressed senior ministers at a special meeting of Cabinet ahead of a historic week of crunch votes in the House of Commons which could shape the outcome of Brexit.
Mrs May is facing a battle to hold on to power as MPs seek to seize control of parliamentary business in a bid to secure a softer Brexit, while some of her own backbenchers openly discuss her removal as Prime Minister.
Her hopes of winning DUP support for the Brexit deal also suffered a setback after a phone call with Arlene Foster failed to change the unionist party’s opposition to the Withdrawal Agreement.
In its statement, the European Commission said it had completed its preparations for a possible no-deal Brexit, but warned it would nonetheless cause “significant disruption for citizens and businesses”.
If it crashes out without a deal on April 12, the UK will not benefit from a transition period to new arrangements, but will immediately be subject to checks and tariffs on its exports to the EU, while “significant delays” can be expected at the borders, said officials.
Following Cabinet, Mrs May was due to meet Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn before delivering an oral statement to MPs on the decision reached at last week’s EU summit to extend the Brexit negotiation period beyond March 29.
MPs will then debate and vote on a proposal to force a series of indicative votes on alternatives to her Withdrawal Agreement.
Defeat for the Government on Monday night over the plan – tabled in an amendment by former ministers Sir Oliver Letwin and Dominic Grieve and Labour MP Hilary Benn – would be a further humiliation for Mrs May.
The proposal seeks to pave the way for a series of indicative votes in the Commons on Wednesday, effectively taking control of the Brexit process out of the hands of the Government.
Sir Oliver acknowledged that any votes would be advisory rather than binding on the Government and it may take several rounds of voting before a majority is found for any of the options – if one can be found at all.
He said Mrs May “hasn’t been able to get a majority and we don’t know what she could get a majority for, so once we find that out there is a way forward, in principle, and then the next thing would be for the Prime Minister to take that forward and for the Government to implement it”.
But he told BBC Radio 4’s Today: “None of us know whether it will work.”
Tory backbencher Nigel Evans, a joint executive secretary of the influential Conservative 1922 Committee, said Theresa May should set out her plans to quit in order to get her Brexit deal through.
“Clearly a number of people do not want the Prime Minister anywhere near the next phase of negotiations, which is the future trading relationship between ourselves and the EU,” he told Today.
He said there should be an “orderly” process to replace the Prime Minister, with a full leadership contest rather than an interim successor.
And Mrs May’s former Downing Street director of communications, Katie Perrior, said it was time for the Prime Minister to announce her departure date to get her Brexit deal through.
Writing in The Times Red Box, Ms Perrior said: “Maybe it’s time to stop finding scapegoats and admit that Theresa May and her lack of leadership has made a bad situation worse.
“With great sadness, it’s time for her to swap her departure date in return for the deal. It’s the least she can do.”
But International Trade Secretary Liam Fox insisted that Mrs May was respected by the public, despite calls for her to go from MPs.
“What I was finding from real voters was people spontaneously saying: ‘I don’t understand how Theresa May puts up with the pressure, she is a great public servant, her resilience is amazing’,” Dr Fox told Today.
He said Tory Eurosceptics had to accept that MPs would block a no-deal Brexit.
“I think we will see today that there is a mood in the House of Commons to stop us leaving without a deal, even if that means no Brexit,” said Dr Fox. “I think that is a constitutionally disastrous position.”
Environment Secretary Michael Gove – tipped at the weekend as a possible replacement for Mrs May as PM – told the BBC: “We need to ensure that we leave the EU and we do so in an orderly fashion, and as many people as possible (need to) recognise that that means supporting the Prime Minister and making sure she gets the deal through.”
Meanwhile, European Commission spokesman Margaritis Schinas said images of an estimated one million people marching in favour of a second Brexit referendum were “very telling”, but added that the commission was negotiating only with the UK Government.
“For as long as the UK Government does not tell us otherwise, we are working on the presumption that the UK will leave the EU,” he told a Brussels press conference.
Former foreign secretary Boris Johnson, who was one of a group of prominent Brexiteers to meeting Mrs May at Chequers on Sunday, claimed the Government had “chickened out” of delivering Brexit.
In an article in the Daily Telegraph, Mr Johnson signalled his belief in the need for a change of leadership by asking: “Can we really go on with a negotiating team that has so resoundingly failed?”
If Mrs May cannot deliver “convincing proofs” of how the next phase of the negotiations will be different from the last, he said she should “drop the deal” and demand an immediate departure from the EU with an extended transition period stretching as late as December 2021 to negotiate a trade deal.
“It is time for the PM to channel the spirit of Moses in Exodus, and say to Pharaoh in Brussels – let my people go,” said Mr Johnson.
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